Decision Making Process with Examples
Decision Making Process with Examples
Decision making is the study of identifying and choosing alternatives based on the values and preferences of the decision maker. Making a decision implies that there are alternative choices to be considered, and in such a case we want not only to identify as many of these alternatives as possible but to choose the one that (1) has the highest probability of success or effectiveness and (2) best fits with our goals, desires, lifestyle, values, and so on.
The decision-making process involves the following steps:
Define the problem.
Identify limiting factors.
Develop potential alternatives.
Analyze the alternatives.
Select the best alternative.
Implement the decision.
Establish a control and evaluation system.
Define the problem
The decision-making process begins when a manager identifies the real problem. The accurate definition of the problem affects all the steps that follow; if the problem is inaccurately defined, every step in the decision-making process will be based on an incorrect starting point. One way that a manager can help determine the true problem in a situation is by identifying the problem separately from its symptoms.
The most obviously troubling situations found in an organization can usually be identified as symptoms of underlying problems. (See Table 1 for some examples of symptoms.) These symptoms all indicate that something is wrong with an organization, but they dont identify root causes. A successful manager doesnt just attack symptoms; he works to uncover the factors that cause these symptoms.
TABLE 1
Symptoms and Their Real Causes
Symptoms
Underlying Problem
Low profits and/or declining sales
Poor market research
High costs
Poor design process; poorly trained employees
Low morale
Lack of communication between management and subordinates
High employee turnover
Rate of pay too low; job design not suitable
High rate of absenteeism
Employees believe that they are not valued
Identify limiting factors
All managers want to make the best decisions. To do so, managers need to have the ideal resources — information, time, personnel, equipment, and supplies — and identify any limiting factors. Practically, managers operate in an environment that normally doesnt provide ideal resources. For example, they may lack the proper budget or may not have the most accurate information or any extra time. So, they must choose to make the best decision possible with the information, resources, and time available.
Develop potential alternatives
Time pressures frequently cause a manager to move forward after considering only the first or most obvious answers. However, successful problem solving requires thorough examination of the challenge, and a quick answer may not result in a permanent solution. Thus, a manager should think through and investigate several alternative solutions to a single problem before making a quick decision.
One of the best known methods for developing alternatives is through brainstorming, where a group works together to generate ideas and alternative solutions. The assumption behind brainstorming is that the group dynamic stimulates thinking — one persons ideas, no matter how outrageous, can generate ideas from the others in the group. Ideally, this spawning of ideas is contagious, and before long, lots of suggestions and ideas flow. Brainstorming usually requires 30 minutes to an hour. The following specific rules should be followed during brainstorming sessions:
Concentrate on the problem at hand. This rule keeps the discussion very specific and avoids the groups tendency to address the events leading up to the current problem.
Entertain all ideas. In fact, the more ideas that come up, the better. In other words, there are no bad ideas. Encouragement of the group to freely offer all thoughts on the subject is important. Participants should be encouraged to present ideas no matter how ridiculous they seem, because